Storm Summary: A major ridge has developed in the Southern Rockies, with a strong split flow in place. This feature is very conducive to winter storms in our area. With this pattern in place, a strong surface low pressure will develop near Texas and race northeast into northern Indiana by Sunday, dropping significant snows on the back side of the system in a stretched out deformation zone (classic to such a winter storm).
Forecast: The heaviest snow amounts still appear to be on the order of 5-9" with locally higher amount. Some models are actually hinting at a foot of snow in some spot, but whether that materializes will depend on whetehr or not we can get the severe thunderstorms to rotate back into the cold, and fall as all snow.
One thing I would like to mention, is the the exact track and exact location of the axis of heavy snow is not set in stone (although were are fairly confident) the 5-9" band is subject to a north or south shift by 10-30 miles. So stay tuned for updates!
